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Foreign investments and international hedge
funds, some of which are speculative hot money, are now elbowing into the China
market. They're lured by the Chinese people's emerging consumption power, and
expectations of the Chinese yuan appreciating higher.
The Ministry of Commerce said on Wednesday that
China drew $18.13 billion in overseas investments in January and February,
shooting 75.2 percent year-on-year.
Chinese Commerce Minister Chen Deming, who was
promoted to the post late last year, said at a news conference in Beijing that
the reason for the big increase of overseas capital in the first two months was
due to the big increase in large-scale investing projects and a stronger
yuan.
Chen's ministry, which oversees foreign trade
and domestic consumption, said that during the first two months, investments
from the European Union countries rose a whopping 109 percent, while investments
from the United States increased 44 percent.
Wild expectations abroad that the yuan will
continue to rise in value against major world currencies has led to money coming
to China.
"When you bring US dollars to invest in China,
you need to change it into the yuan. Naturally you would like your funds to
enter China at an earlier date. Because, if you are late, the same amount of
dollars will turn out to be less yuan bills," Chen told reporters.
China's foreign exchange administration, under
the auspices of the People's Bank of China, the central bank, said in its latest
report that the country's total foreign exchange reserve has reached nearly
$1.59 trillion by the end of January, the world's largest.
China's currency, also called the renminbi, has
been constantly rising in value. The People's Bank of China, set the medium
parity trading price at 7.0970 against one US dollar on Thursday, a new record
high. The yuan has gained 3 percent against the dollar in value since the
beginning of 2008.
The sharp increase in the stock of hard
currencies has triggered another round of concern on speculative hot money
flowing into China, posing potential risks to China's financial system
stability.
Wu Xiaoling, deputy head of the National
People's Congress's Finance Committee, who was a former central banker, said
that the American subprime crisis and the rising trend of the yuan's value will
make world speculative funds come to the China market to seek profits.
When asked by reporters whether the hot money
has arrived in the name of foreign direct investments, Minister Chen Deming
said: "I can hardly tell their entering channels, and their volume. It belongs
to the management of the foreign exchange administration."
Economist Suggests Quick
Appreciation
Liang Hong, economist at the Goldman Sachs,
argued in a written article published by a major Chinese financial newspaper on
Thursday that Chinese monetary authorities should consider quickening the
appreciation pace of the yuan, to fight domestic inflation, which approached to
8.7 percent in February.
Others have suggested another "one-off" big rise
of the value of the yuan, possibly 5 percent against the greenback by the
central bank, to block more hot money from flooding in.
Liang said in her article that "allowing a
marked rise in the yuan value is the most opportune policy instrument to curb
inflation, as well as rectify the foreign trade imbalance".
She also argued for immediate interest rate
hikes to thwart inflation, otherwise the Chinese economy faces an increasing
risk of a hard-landing. |